News Makers News From Pakistan
Karachi: NML is scheduled to announce its 1QFY12 result later today.
According to AKD Securities, they expect NML to post NPAT of PkR1,206mn in 1QFY12 (EPS: PkR3.43), which would represent a decline of 11% YoY. Sequentially, AKD forecast earnings to fall by 12%QoQ following a 17%QoQ fall in operating profits due to lower gross margins (cotton price down 34%QoQ) and sales. Higher other income (+126%VoV) will be the likely saviour for NML in 1QFY12 where higher dividend income from power associate `Pakgen’ would moderate the impact of lower profitability from core operations. At current levels AKD Securities recommends Buy on NML with a target price of PkR73/share.
| NML: 1QFY12 Result Preview | |||
| (PkR mn) | 1QFY12E | 1QFY11A | YoY |
| Net sales | 12,331 | 9,961 | 24% |
| Gross profit | 1,835 | 2,138 | -14% |
| S and A exp. | 841 | 584 | 39% |
| Financial charges | 373 | 315 | 19% |
| Other income | 806 | 357 | 24% |
| NPAT | 1,206 | 1,350 | 126% |
| EPS (PkR) | 3.43 | 3.84 | -11% |
| Source: Company Reports and AKD Research | |||
LOTPTA: 9MCY11 Result Preview
LOTPTA will be considering its 9MCY11 results later today. AKD Securities expects LOTPTA to post NPAT of PkR4,200mn (EPS: PkR2.77) which would represent a growth of 32%YoY over 9MCY10. For 3QCY11, AKD forecasts NPAT to fall steeply by 59%QoQ to PkR502mn (EPS: PkR0.33) where sequential fall in PTA-Px primary margins are expected to drag gross margins down by 6ppts QoQ to 6%.
NBP: 9MCY11 Result Preview
NBP is scheduled to post its 9MCY11 result tomorrow. On a consolidated basis, AKD expects NBP to post NPAT of PkR12.44bn (EPS: PkR7.40) in 9MCY11 against NPAT of PkR11.4lbn (EPS: PkR6.79) in 9MCY10, a growth of 9%YoY. 3QCY11 NPAT should register at PkR4.31bn (EPS: PkR2.56), up 22%YoY/12%QoQ. Key highlights of 9MCY11 results are expected to be 1) 9%YoY Nil growth, 2) 38%YoY increase in total provisions, 3) broad-based 29%VoY growth in non- interest income and 4) 12%YoY increase in admin expenses. Having shed 29%CYTD, NBP trades at a CY12F PIB of O.48x, PER of 4.2x and forward dividend yield of 15%. While asset quality risks remain, anticipated conversion of circular debt exposure into PUBs remains a potential trigger for both improvement in asset quality profile and recognition of suspended mark up. This could allow NBP to post a strong end to the year. At current share price, AKD’s target price of PkR54/share offers upside of 23% and implies a Buy stance.
