Islamabad, November 06, 2018 (PPI-OT): The global and regional meteorological indicators, such as Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are likely to oscillate around its neutral position. EI Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is predicted to remain in positive phase. Based upon these climate conditions and statistically downscaled GCM’s, the silent features of weather for November 2018 are expected as follows;
1. The analysis of output from the models suggests that there is probability of 60% to 70% of above normal rainfall over northern parts of the country and nearly normal rainfall over southern parts of the country. There is also continuation of above normal temperature over central and southern parts of the country.
2. Two or three spells of light to moderate rainfall with snow over the hills is also expected in the northern half of the country.
3. Fog/Smog with vanish intensity is likely to prevail in the plain areas of Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and upper Sindh.
4. Drought prevailing conditions are likely to continue/intensify in Sindh and southwest of Balochistan.
Keeping in view the rapid changes in climate system dynamics, above outlook will be updated on monthly basis during the first week of each month.
For more information, contact:
National Weather Forecasting Centre (NWFC)
Pakistan Meteorological Department
Headquarter Office, Sector H-8/2,